Tennis · M25 Denia · 23/07, 10:00

Prediction: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Eric Vanshelboim

Prediction summary
Winner
37% 63%
Oscar Jose Gutierrez Eric Vanshelboim
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Oscar Jose Gutierrez 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLWWWWLW
Eric Vanshelboim 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oscar Jose Gutierrez 1521 · Eric Vanshelboim 1597
Oscar Jose GutierrezEric Vanshelboim
Our model39%61%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eric Vanshelboim (rating 1521 vs 1597).

Statistics

Oscar Jose GutierrezEric Vanshelboim
Win %60%80%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.7-0.6
Games (G-P)11-9.511.6-8.4
Aces1.90.4
Double faults3.60.7
1st serve %65.6%60.5%
Break %41.6%49.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oscar Jose Gutierrez

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Sergio Planella Hernandez
M25 Denia
2-1 13-11 W
12/07 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
05/07 Carles Hernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 14-15 L
04/07 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
03/07 Luka Talan Lopatic
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
02/07 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 Ryan Nijboer
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
17/06 Daniel Verbeek
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-1 14-10 W
16/06 Luis Garcia Paez
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
13/06 Yannik Kelm
M15 Nyiregyhaza · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Eric Vanshelboim

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Thomas Miranda
M25 Denia
2-0 12-5 W
19/07 Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Gandia
2-0 13-10 W
18/07 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-6 W
17/07 Sergi Fita Juan
M25 Gandia
2-1 15-9 W
16/07 Matthieu Chambonniere
M25 Gandia
2-1 16-10 W
15/07 Noah Regas
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-8 W
11/06 Niels McDonald
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
0-2 3-11 L
10/06 Louis Wessels
M25 Varnamo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/05 Nikola Djosic
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
1-2 9-14 L
26/05 Toprak Avcibasi
M15 Brcko · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Eric Vanshelboim?

Our model gives 63% to Eric Vanshelboim, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.