Prediction: Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Lorenzo Angelini
Prediction summary
Winner
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Lorenzo Angelini
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Angelini
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento 1515 · Lorenzo Angelini 1552
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-8.7 | 10.3-6.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 64.8% |
| Break % | 38.9% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/07 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Pablo Aunion M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Martins Rocens M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 9-10 | W |
| 02/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/06 | Pablo Aunion M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Darrshan Suresh M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/05 | Ivan Ivanov M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Andres Santamarta Roig M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Luca Potenza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/07 | Andrej Martin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 03/07 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Henry Best M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento vs Lorenzo Angelini?
Our model gives 73% to Lorenzo Angelini, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.