Tennis · M25 Denia · 24/07, 10:00

Prediction: Michiel de Krom vs Javier Barranco Cosano

Prediction summary
Winner
34% 66%
Michiel de Krom Javier Barranco Cosano
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Michiel de Krom 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWWW
Javier Barranco Cosano 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Michiel de Krom 1520 · Javier Barranco Cosano 1539
Michiel de KromJavier Barranco Cosano
Our model47%53%
Market23%77%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Michiel de KromJavier Barranco Cosano
Win %60%70%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-0.91.4-0.7
Games (G-P)11-9.112.3-8.8
Aces0.51.9
Double faults1.83.1
1st serve %60.5%72.7%
Break %60.6%44.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Michiel de Krom

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Pablo Perez Navarro
M25 Denia
2-0 13-7 W
06/07 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
05/07 Niklas Schell
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
02/07 Sergi Fita Juan
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 14-11 W
19/06 Ryan Nijboer
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
17/06 Sergi Fita Juan
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
16/06 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
02/06 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Javier Barranco Cosano

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Pavel Petrov
M25 Denia
2-0 12-1 W
19/07 Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Gandia
0-2 10-13 L
18/07 Reda Bennani
M25 Gandia
2-1 17-11 W
17/07 Luka Talan Lopatic
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-8 W
16/07 Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-7 W
15/07 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M25 Gandia
1-0 6-1 W
26/06 Kalin Ivanovski
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
0-2 11-14 L
25/06 Dorian Tremblay
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
23/06 Jakub Vrba
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
2-1 14-9 W
16/06 Jozef Kovalik
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
1-1 17-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Michiel de Krom vs Javier Barranco Cosano?

Our model gives 66% to Javier Barranco Cosano, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.