Tennis · M25 Denia · 24/07, 10:00

Prediction: Reda Bennani vs Adam Lynch

Prediction summary
Winner
77% 23%
Reda Bennani Adam Lynch
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Reda Bennani 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWLLWWLW
Adam Lynch 4-6 (W-L)
LWLLWLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reda Bennani 1591 · Adam Lynch 1477
Reda BennaniAdam Lynch
Our model66%34%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reda Bennani (rating 1591 vs 1477).
  • Reda Bennani is in better form: 90% recent wins.

Statistics

Reda BennaniAdam Lynch
Win %90%40%
Win % · Clay 100% (5) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.9-0.80.8-1.2
Games (G-P)13.7-9.38-8.8
Aces1.21.8
Double faults2.21
1st serve %64.3%62.4%
Break %57.2%36.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reda Bennani

WWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Carles Hernandez
M25 Denia
2-0 12-6 W
18/07 Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Gandia
1-2 11-17 L
17/07 Anas Mazdrashki
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Albert Pedrico Kravtsov
M25 Gandia
2-1 16-12 W
15/07 Carles Cordoba
M25 Gandia
2-1 15-10 W
05/07 Massimo Giunta
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 13-12 W
04/07 Walid Ahouda
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 15-8 W
03/07 Florian Broska
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
02/07 Alexandr Binda
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
01/07 Dillon Beckles
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Adam Lynch

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/07 Kevin Edengren
M25 Denia
2-0 12-4 W
21/07 Alvaro De Miguel Montero
M25 Denia
2-0 11-0 W
15/07 Sergi Fita Juan
M25 Gandia
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Matisse Martin
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 8-12 L
01/07 Paul Inchauspe
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Bastien Prod'homme
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
09/06 Christian Sigsgaard
M15 Messina · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/06 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Pietro Marino
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
18/04 Corentin Denolly
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reda Bennani vs Adam Lynch?

Our model gives 77% to Reda Bennani, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.