Tennis · M15 Segrate · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Nicolas Parizzia vs Vito Dell'Elba
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Parizzia
Vito Dell'Elba
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Parizzia
2-8 (W-L)
Vito Dell'Elba
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Parizzia 1452 · Vito Dell'Elba 1531
| Nicolas Parizzia | Vito Dell'Elba | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vito Dell'Elba (rating 1452 vs 1531).
- Vito Dell'Elba is in better form: 60% recent wins.
Statistics
| Nicolas Parizzia | Vito Dell'Elba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-11.9 | 11.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.8% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 38.5% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Parizzia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Luca Parenti M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 9-9 | L |
| 16/07 | Tomas Lanik M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Noah Lopez M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Vito Dell'Elba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Adan Freire Da Silva M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Mihai Alexandru Coman M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Guillem Campos Perez M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Fadi Bidan M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Matei Marius Partal M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Jan Simonsson M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Davit Zogranian M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/04 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Gonzalo Le Gentil M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Parizzia vs Vito Dell'Elba?
Our model gives 54% to Nicolas Parizzia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.