Tennis · WTA Palermo · 23/07, 17:00
Prediction: Dalila Spiteri vs Lucia Bronzetti
Prediction summary
Winner
Dalila Spiteri
Lucia Bronzetti
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Dalila Spiteri
5-5 (W-L)
Lucia Bronzetti
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dalila Spiteri
0–1
Lucia Bronzetti
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalila Spiteri 1505 · Lucia Bronzetti 1582
| Dalila Spiteri | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucia Bronzetti (rating 1505 vs 1582).
- Head-to-head: Dalila Spiteri 0–1 Lucia Bronzetti (1).
Statistics
| Dalila Spiteri | Lucia Bronzetti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-9.4 | 10.8-9.1 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 59.7% | 57.7% |
| Break % | 63.2% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Dalila Spiteri 0 – 1 Lucia Bronzetti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalila Spiteri 0–1 Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09/18 ITF Women Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalila Spiteri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Alessandra Mazzola WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/06 | Berfu Cengiz W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Anja Stankovic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Julia Stamatova W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/06 | Laura Svatikova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Francesca Pace W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-3 | W |
| 03/06 | Angelica Raggi W75 Caserta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/05 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann WTA Rabat · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Lucia Bronzetti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Ilary Pistola WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Alessandra Mazzola WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/06 | Lina Gjorcheska Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Justina Mikulskyte Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalila Spiteri vs Lucia Bronzetti?
Our model gives 73% to Lucia Bronzetti, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.