Tennis · M15 Rognac · 22/07, 15:00
Prediction: Julio Cesar Porras vs Maxime Chazal
Prediction summary
Winner
Julio Cesar Porras
Maxime Chazal
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Julio Cesar Porras
8-2 (W-L)
Maxime Chazal
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Julio Cesar Porras
2–0
Maxime Chazal
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Julio Cesar Porras 1559 · Maxime Chazal 1487
| Julio Cesar Porras | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julio Cesar Porras (rating 1559 vs 1487).
- Head-to-head: Julio Cesar Porras 2–0 Maxime Chazal (2).
Statistics
| Julio Cesar Porras | Maxime Chazal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-7 | 11.1-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 64.2% |
| Break % | 60.5% | 38.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Julio Cesar Porras 2 – 0 Maxime Chazal (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Julio Cesar Porras 2–0 Maxime Chazal
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/03/25 M25 Tarragona | 2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 02/04/24 M25 Reus | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Julio Cesar Porras
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Ntungamili Raguin M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Victor Barreira Bonzom M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 26/05 | Nazar Oliynykov M15 Brcko · ~Clay |
0-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 03/05 | Fausto Tabacco UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Diego Fernandez Flores UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/05 | Rafael Kis Balazs UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/04 | Dino Molokova Ferreira UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 28/04 | Fred Gil UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/04 | Samuel D F Garcia UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Maxime Chazal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Younes Lalami Laaroussi M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 12/07 | Sander Jong Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Emilien Demanet Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski Challenger Troyes · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 28/06 | Rodrigo Alujas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-9 | L |
| 28/05 | Alexandre Reco M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/05 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Julio Cesar Porras vs Maxime Chazal?
Our model gives 54% to Maxime Chazal, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.