Tennis · M15 Rognac · 22/07, 16:30
Prediction: Mathieu Scaglia vs Nicholas Godsick
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathieu Scaglia
Nicholas Godsick
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mathieu Scaglia
3-7 (W-L)
Nicholas Godsick
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathieu Scaglia 1471 · Nicholas Godsick 1473
| Mathieu Scaglia | Nicholas Godsick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Nicholas Godsick makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Mathieu Scaglia | Nicholas Godsick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.3 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-10.2 | 10.5-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 61.9% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathieu Scaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Nick Beamish M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Amine Jamji M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Nicholas Godsick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Aaron Gabet M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 20/07 | Karlo Filip Jukic M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 19/07 | Tom Jonio M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Roshan Santhosh M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Alex Kobelt M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Roger Pascual Ferra Challenger Fairfield · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Olle Wallin Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathieu Scaglia vs Nicholas Godsick?
Our model gives 58% to Nicholas Godsick, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.