Tennis · M15 Rognac · 23/07, 10:00
Prediction: Maxence Rivet vs Lucas Marionneau
Prediction summary
Winner
Maxence Rivet
Lucas Marionneau
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maxence Rivet
5-5 (W-L)
Lucas Marionneau
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maxence Rivet 1548 · Lucas Marionneau 1534
| Maxence Rivet | Lucas Marionneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Maxence Rivet makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Maxence Rivet | Lucas Marionneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (6) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.4 | 9.8-8.8 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 4 | 1.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 78% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maxence Rivet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Mae Malige M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 20/07 | Damien Salvestre M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Florent Bax M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Amaury Raynel M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Simone Macchione M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Federico Gargano M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/04 | Daniel Rincon M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Lucas Marionneau
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Valentin Gonzalez-Galino M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/07 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/07 | Francisco Rocha M15 Castelo Branco |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Tiago Silva M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Pow M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Zac Hamill M25 Tulsa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 12/06 | Andrew Fenty M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Daniel Milavsky M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 09/06 | Will Mayew M25 Wichita · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/05 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maxence Rivet vs Lucas Marionneau?
Our model gives 62% to Lucas Marionneau, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.