Tennis · M15 Rognac · 22/07, 18:00
Prediction: Lui Maxted vs Louis Larue
Prediction summary
Winner
Lui Maxted
Louis Larue
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Lui Maxted
6-4 (W-L)
Louis Larue
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lui Maxted 1520 · Louis Larue 1455
| Lui Maxted | Louis Larue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lui Maxted (rating 1520 vs 1455).
- Lui Maxted is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Lui Maxted makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Lui Maxted | Louis Larue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.5 | 10.3-12.7 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 60.8% | 41.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lui Maxted
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Daniil Ostapenkov M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Nikola Djukic Valera M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov M25 Porto |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/03 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Hersonissos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/03 | Michalis Sakellaridis Challenger Hersonissos Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Louis Larue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Romain Andres M15 Rognac |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Cosme Rolland De Ravel M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Marcello Serafini M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Seydina Andre M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Giammarco Gandolfi M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Moritz Kudernatsch M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Otso Martikainen M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Arthur Weber M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Finn Murgett M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lui Maxted vs Louis Larue?
Our model gives 74% to Lui Maxted, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.