Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 22/07, 15:00
Prediction: Victor Bini vs Murkel Dellien
Prediction summary
Winner
Victor Bini
Murkel Dellien
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Victor Bini
4-6 (W-L)
Murkel Dellien
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Victor Bini 1477 · Murkel Dellien 1517
| Victor Bini | Murkel Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 9% | 91% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Murkel Dellien (rating 1477 vs 1517).
Statistics
| Victor Bini | Murkel Dellien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.9 | 10.6-9.6 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 64.3% |
| Break % | 46% | 41% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Victor Bini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Glauco Pinheiro Da Cruz Junior M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/07 | Tadeo Meneo M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/06 | Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/05 | Tomas Dummer Macedo M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 30/04 | Ryan Dickerson M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 27/04 | Juan Ignacio Barraza M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 26/04 | Camilo Andres Gonzalez Torres M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-12 | W |
| 10/03 | Enzo Rimoli M15 La Plata |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 24/11 | Diego Eduardo Munoz Navia ITF M15 La Paz · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
Murkel Dellien
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Enzo Lima M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Tomas Martinez M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 13/05 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/05 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/05 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/05 | Carlos Maria Zarate M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/05 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/04 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Victor Bini vs Murkel Dellien?
Our model gives 75% to Murkel Dellien, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.