Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 22/07, 15:00
Prediction: Salvador Price vs Santiago Pesino
Prediction summary
Winner
Salvador Price
Santiago Pesino
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Salvador Price
2-8 (W-L)
Santiago Pesino
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salvador Price 1412 · Santiago Pesino 1496
| Salvador Price | Santiago Pesino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Pesino (rating 1412 vs 1496).
- Santiago Pesino is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Salvador Price | Santiago Pesino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 13% (8) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.6 | 1.5-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-11.9 | 11.1-9.4 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.4% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 29.1% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salvador Price
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/06 | Martin Maldonado Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Valentin Basel Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Tsz Fu Wong M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/06 | Nick Hardt M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Richard Gama M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 16/05 | Mateus Alves M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Santiago Pesino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Bautista De La Pena M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Felipe Mifano Pinto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 07/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Dante Teramo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Jackson Pereira Xavier M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-7 | L |
| 06/05 | Samuel Heredia M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 05/05 | Tomas Luna M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salvador Price vs Santiago Pesino?
Our model gives 55% to Santiago Pesino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.