Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 22/07, 16:30
Prediction: Gustavo Albieri vs Rafael Tosetto
Prediction summary
Winner
Gustavo Albieri
Rafael Tosetto
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Gustavo Albieri
3-7 (W-L)
Rafael Tosetto
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gustavo Albieri 1455 · Rafael Tosetto 1466
| Gustavo Albieri | Rafael Tosetto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Gustavo Albieri makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Gustavo Albieri | Rafael Tosetto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.9 | 10.2-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 6.1 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 56.8% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 32.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gustavo Albieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Mateo Del Pino M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Luka Bojicic Ono M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Felipe Garla M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/01 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Itajai · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Jefferson Wendler Filho ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Guilherme B Renner ITF M25 Lajeado · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl ITF M25 Salvador |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/10 | Adhithya Ganesan ITF M25 Salvador |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Samuel Heredia ITF M25 Salvador |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Rafael Tosetto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 21/06 | Andre Souza Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Luiz Gusavo Felisberto M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 03/06 | Gonzalo Villanueva M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/05 | Herman Hoeyeraal M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/05 | Mateus Alves M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gustavo Albieri vs Rafael Tosetto?
Our model gives 62% to Rafael Tosetto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.