Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 22/07, 14:00
Prediction: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier
Prediction summary
Winner
Alex Molcan
Daniel Altmaier
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Alex Molcan
7-3 (W-L)
Daniel Altmaier
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alex Molcan
2–0
Daniel Altmaier
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alex Molcan 1527 · Daniel Altmaier 1519
| Alex Molcan | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alex Molcan 2–0 Daniel Altmaier (2).
Statistics
| Alex Molcan | Daniel Altmaier | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.2 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.6-12.2 | 13-12.3 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 10 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.6% | 77.3% |
| Break % | 49.4% | 26.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
H2H · Alex Molcan 2 – 0 Daniel Altmaier (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alex Molcan 2–0 Daniel Altmaier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/26 Wimbledon | 3-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 16/04/26 ATP Munich | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alex Molcan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Damir Dzumhur ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 16/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Valentin Royer ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 9-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Altmaier Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-17 | W |
| 22/06 | Fabian Marozsan ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Murphy Cassone ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Ziga Sesko ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/06 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Prostejov · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Daniel Altmaier
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Hugo Gaston ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-22 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaier?
Our model gives 53% to Alex Molcan, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.