Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 22/07, 12:30
Prediction: Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Buse
Prediction summary
Winner
Kilian Feldbausch
Ignacio Buse
Estimated games
23
Recent form · 10 last
Kilian Feldbausch
7-3 (W-L)
Ignacio Buse
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kilian Feldbausch
0–1
Ignacio Buse
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kilian Feldbausch 1569 · Ignacio Buse 1494
| Kilian Feldbausch | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kilian Feldbausch (rating 1569 vs 1494).
- Head-to-head: Kilian Feldbausch 0–1 Ignacio Buse (1).
Statistics
| Kilian Feldbausch | Ignacio Buse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 1.2-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-7.5 | 13.2-15.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 67.1% |
| Break % | 41% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23
H2H · Kilian Feldbausch 0 – 1 Ignacio Buse (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kilian Feldbausch 0–1 Ignacio Buse
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/25 Challenger Santiago | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kilian Feldbausch
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/07 | Sandro Kopp ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Gustavo Heide ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Marvin Moeller Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Ioannis Xilas Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Ignacio Buse
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Vit Kopriva ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jenson Brooksby Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Emilio Nava Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-17 | W |
| 24/06 | Vit Kopriva ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Marcos Giron ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 25/05 | Andrey Rublev French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
| 23/05 | Tommy Paul ATP Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kilian Feldbausch vs Ignacio Buse?
Our model gives 53% to Ignacio Buse, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.