Tennis · M25 Denia · 22/07, 10:00

Prediction: Pablo Perez Navarro vs Michiel de Krom

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Pablo Perez Navarro Michiel de Krom
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Perez Navarro 5-5 (W-L)
LLWWWWLLLW
Michiel de Krom 6-4 (W-L)
LLWWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pablo Perez Navarro 1494 · Michiel de Krom 1505
Pablo Perez NavarroMichiel de Krom
Our model48%52%
Market21%79%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Pablo Perez NavarroMichiel de Krom
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 60% (5) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.21.1-1.1
Games (G-P)8-810.7-9.7
Aces1.30.6
Double faults2.71.9
1st serve %64.8%61.1%
Break %42.1%56.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pablo Perez Navarro

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Manuel Belda
M25 Denia
2-0 12-2 W
14/07 Oliver Crawford
Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
10/06 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Martos · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
05/06 Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/06 Gabi Adrian Boitan
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
1-0 6-3 W
03/06 Andrei Corneliu Gadoiu
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
02/06 Matei Varbanciu
M25 Bistrita · ~Clay
2-0 11-2 W
23/02 Tanguy Genier
M25 Vale do Lobo · ~Hard
1-2 9-10 L
09/12 Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
31/08 David Jorda Sanchis
Challenger Seville · Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Michiel de Krom

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
06/07 Gerard Campana Lee
Challenger Liege · Clay
1-2 14-16 L
05/07 Niklas Schell
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
02/07 Sergi Fita Juan
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
30/06 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 14-11 W
19/06 Ryan Nijboer
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 12-1 W
17/06 Sergi Fita Juan
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
16/06 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
02/06 Taym Alazmeh
M15 Rosbach · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
27/05 Matteo Martineau
M25 Troisdorf · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pablo Perez Navarro vs Michiel de Krom?

Our model gives 67% to Michiel de Krom, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.