Tennis · M25 Denia · 22/07, 10:00

Prediction: Adam Lynch vs Kevin Edengren

Prediction summary
Winner
51% 49%
Adam Lynch Kevin Edengren
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Adam Lynch 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWLLLW
Kevin Edengren 4-6 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adam Lynch 1475 · Kevin Edengren 1508
Adam LynchKevin Edengren
Our model45%55%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Adam LynchKevin Edengren
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (2) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.21.1-1.2
Games (G-P)8-8.810-10.7
Aces1.94.1
Double faults1.21.9
1st serve %60.8%66.3%
Break %36.1%36.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adam Lynch

WLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Alvaro De Miguel Montero
M25 Denia
2-0 11-0 W
15/07 Sergi Fita Juan
M25 Gandia
0-2 4-12 L
07/07 Matisse Martin
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 8-12 L
01/07 Paul Inchauspe
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
29/06 Bastien Prod'homme
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
09/06 Christian Sigsgaard
M15 Messina · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/06 Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Pietro Marino
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
18/04 Corentin Denolly
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/04 Yannik Alvarez
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Kevin Edengren

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Gandia
1-2 10-15 L
23/06 Francisco Faria
M25 Porto
0-2 6-13 L
17/06 Pablo Martinez Gomez
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Rahul Dhokia
M25 Lourinha · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
28/05 Yanki Erel
M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
25/05 Karol Malirz
M15 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-1 17-13 W
22/05 Daniil Ostapenkov
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/05 Cyril Vandermeersch
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
20/05 Robin Catry
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-1 16-13 W
18/05 Nikolozi Sirbiladze
M25 Kutaisi · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adam Lynch vs Kevin Edengren?

Our model gives 51% to Adam Lynch, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.