Prediction: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Mario Arce Fernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Pablo Martinez Gomez
Mario Arce Fernandez
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pablo Martinez Gomez
6-4 (W-L)
Mario Arce Fernandez
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pablo Martinez Gomez 1565 · Mario Arce Fernandez 1451
| Pablo Martinez Gomez | Mario Arce Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pablo Martinez Gomez (rating 1565 vs 1451).
- Pablo Martinez Gomez is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Pablo Martinez Gomez | Mario Arce Fernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.7 | 9.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.4% | 66.8% |
| Break % | 59.2% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pablo Martinez Gomez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Eric Vanshelboim M25 Gandia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M25 Gandia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Kevin Edengren M25 Gandia |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 24/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Porto |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 20/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Oscar Andres Martinez de Freitas M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/06 | Ilya Ivashka M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Kevin Edengren M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Mario Arce Fernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Edouard Villoslada M25 Denia |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Gandia |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Anton Arzhankin M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Marcel Zielinski M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Esteban Talavera Cortes M25 Loule · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 20/04 | Justas Trainauskas M15 Sanxenxo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Jose Dominguez Alonso M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pablo Martinez Gomez vs Mario Arce Fernandez?
Our model gives 78% to Pablo Martinez Gomez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.