Prediction: Hernan Casanova vs Jordi Garcia Mestre
Prediction summary
Winner
Hernan Casanova
Jordi Garcia Mestre
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Hernan Casanova
8-2 (W-L)
Jordi Garcia Mestre
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hernan Casanova 1562 · Jordi Garcia Mestre 1497
| Hernan Casanova | Jordi Garcia Mestre | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hernan Casanova (rating 1562 vs 1497).
Statistics
| Hernan Casanova | Jordi Garcia Mestre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.8 | 10.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 58% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hernan Casanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/07 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 05/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 04/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/07 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/07 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/06 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/06 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Jordi Garcia Mestre
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Antonio Prat M25 Denia |
2-1 | 7-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Ignacio Parisca Romera M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Bryan Hernandez Cortes M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Pablo Roche Alcaya M15 Getxo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Stepan Baum M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Jon Bayo M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/06 | Andrin Casanova M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/05 | Luca Staeheli M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 27/05 | Matic Hribar M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hernan Casanova vs Jordi Garcia Mestre?
Our model gives 77% to Hernan Casanova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.