Tennis · M15 Segrate · 22/07, 10:00
Prediction: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
6-4 (W-L)
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
1–1
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
(2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1527 · Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini 1466
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Cruz Martin Manzano (rating 1527 vs 1466).
- Note: Juan Cruz Martin Manzano makes many double faults (4.4/match).
- Note: Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini makes many double faults (8.1/match).
Statistics
| Juan Cruz Martin Manzano | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10.1 | 10.5-9.5 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 8.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 57.7% | 48.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1 – 1 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Cruz Martin Manzano 1–1 Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/25 M15 Monastir | 1-2 | 15-12 | L |
| 03/11/24 ITF M15 San Gregorio di Catania | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Cruz Martin Manzano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Stefano D'Agostino M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Harold Mayot Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Henry Bernet Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Niels McDonald Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/06 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Niccolo Catini Challenger Parma · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Filippo Catalano M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 09/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Lodz |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 07/07 | Szymon Podczaszy M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/06 | Tobia Grandinetti M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 14/06 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Matthew William Donald M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 06/05 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Matteo Vavassori M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/05 | Jacopo Sanna M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Cruz Martin Manzano vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini?
Our model gives 73% to Juan Cruz Martin Manzano, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.