Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mariano Navone
Prediction summary
Winner
Jan-Lennard Struff
Mariano Navone
Estimated games
27.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jan-Lennard Struff
4-6 (W-L)
Mariano Navone
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jan-Lennard Struff
0–1
Mariano Navone
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jan-Lennard Struff 1524 · Mariano Navone 1520
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jan-Lennard Struff 0–1 Mariano Navone (1).
- Note: Jan-Lennard Struff makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Jan-Lennard Struff | Mariano Navone | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (2) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.7 | 1.6-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 17.6-18.3 | 14.9-12.1 |
| Aces | 15.7 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 79.4% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 37.8% | 36.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
27.5
H2H · Jan-Lennard Struff 0 – 1 Mariano Navone (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jan-Lennard Struff 0–1 Mariano Navone
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/25 ATP Cincinnati | 1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jan-Lennard Struff
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 03/07 | Daniil Medvedev Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 21-17 | W |
| 02/07 | Brandon Nakashima Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 31-31 | W |
| 29/06 | Sebastian Baez Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 26-24 | W |
| 23/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 10/06 | Alexander Bublik ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 09/06 | Alexis Galarneau ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 28/05 | Jaime Faria French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 13-20 | L |
Mariano Navone
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Alexandre Muller ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Stefano Travaglia ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
| 21/06 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 27/05 | Jakub Mensik French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 25-22 | L |
| 25/05 | Jenson Brooksby French Open · Clay |
3-0 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/05 | Learner Tien ATP Geneva · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Jaume Munar ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/05 | Cameron Norrie ATP Geneva · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jan-Lennard Struff vs Mariano Navone?
Our model gives 56% to Mariano Navone, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.