Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 23/07, 11:00
Prediction: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Trungelliti
Yannick Hanfmann
Estimated games
25.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Trungelliti
5-5 (W-L)
Yannick Hanfmann
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Trungelliti
1–0
Yannick Hanfmann
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Trungelliti 1480 · Yannick Hanfmann 1496
| Marco Trungelliti | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marco Trungelliti 1–0 Yannick Hanfmann (1).
- Note: Marco Trungelliti makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Marco Trungelliti | Yannick Hanfmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-13.2 | 13.2-13 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 10.1 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 81.8% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 22.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.5
H2H · Marco Trungelliti 1 – 0 Yannick Hanfmann (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Trungelliti 1–0 Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/25 ATP Rio De Janeiro | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Trungelliti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/06 | Martin Damm Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 25-27 | L |
| 22/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 21/06 | Giles Hussey ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Felix Gill ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/06 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 09/06 | Pavel Kotov Challenger Lyon · Clay |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Heilbronn · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Karen Khachanov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-18 | W |
| 23/06 | Luciano Darderi ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Mallorca · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/06 | Alexander Zverev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Joao Fonseca ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmann?
Our model gives 58% to Yannick Hanfmann, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.