Tennis · M15 Rognac · 21/07, 18:30
Prediction: Mae Malige vs Maxence Rivet
Prediction summary
Winner
Mae Malige
Maxence Rivet
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Mae Malige
6-4 (W-L)
Maxence Rivet
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mae Malige 1495 · Maxence Rivet 1527
| Mae Malige | Maxence Rivet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mae Malige makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mae Malige | Maxence Rivet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10 | 10.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.5% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 45.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mae Malige
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Matias Reyniak M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Porto |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Lyon · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 05/06 | Luca Potenza M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 02/06 | Alessandro Mondazzi M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Daniel Antonio Nunez M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Maxence Rivet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Damien Salvestre M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Florent Bax M25 Uriage |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Amaury Raynel M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Messina · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Matteo Sciahbasi M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Leonardo Primucci M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Simone Macchione M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/06 | Federico Gargano M15 Messina · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/04 | Daniel Rincon M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/04 | Lenny Couturier M25 Angers · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mae Malige vs Maxence Rivet?
Our model gives 61% to Mae Malige, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.