Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 21/07, 16:30
Prediction: Bautista De La Pena vs Santiago Pesino
Prediction summary
Winner
Bautista De La Pena
Santiago Pesino
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Bautista De La Pena
4-6 (W-L)
Santiago Pesino
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bautista De La Pena 1441 · Santiago Pesino 1476
| Bautista De La Pena | Santiago Pesino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Bautista De La Pena | Santiago Pesino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 17% (6) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.4-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 6-11 | 10.8-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 56.9% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bautista De La Pena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Joao Ogando Monteiro Machado M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Luis Jose Nakamine M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel M15 Brasilia |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Rafael Augusto Garcia Finetto M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Vitor Costa Goncalves M25 Cuiaba · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-9 | W |
| 10/05 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Justin Roberts M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 25/03 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Santiago Pesino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Felipe Mifano Pinto M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/07 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 07/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/07 | Dante Teramo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Jackson Pereira Xavier M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-7 | L |
| 06/05 | Samuel Heredia M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 05/05 | Tomas Luna M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Nicolas Bruna M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Augusto Mateo Lucarelli M25 Lujan · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-8 | W |
| 27/03 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bautista De La Pena vs Santiago Pesino?
Our model gives 68% to Santiago Pesino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.