Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 21/07, 15:00
Prediction: Mateo Del Pino vs Gustavo Albieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Mateo Del Pino
Gustavo Albieri
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Mateo Del Pino
3-7 (W-L)
Gustavo Albieri
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mateo Del Pino 1477 · Gustavo Albieri 1437
| Mateo Del Pino | Gustavo Albieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mateo Del Pino (rating 1477 vs 1437).
- Note: Gustavo Albieri makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Mateo Del Pino | Gustavo Albieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 0% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-11.6 | 8.3-12.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 55.7% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 37.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateo Del Pino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Marcco Iannoni M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Felipe Pagnacco M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 14/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/05 | Salvador Price M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 14/05 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 13/05 | Valentino Grippo M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Gustavo Albieri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Luka Bojicic Ono M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/05 | Felipe Garla M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/01 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Itajai · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 05/11 | Jefferson Wendler Filho ITF M25 Santa Cruz do Sul |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/10 | Guilherme B Renner ITF M25 Lajeado · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl ITF M25 Salvador |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 02/10 | Adhithya Ganesan ITF M25 Salvador |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Samuel Heredia ITF M25 Salvador |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/09 | Bruno Kuzuhara ITF M25 Barueri |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateo Del Pino vs Gustavo Albieri?
Our model gives 67% to Mateo Del Pino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.