Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 22/07, 15:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Maximo Zeitune
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Maximo Zeitune
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
5-5 (W-L)
Maximo Zeitune
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
3–1
Maximo Zeitune
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 1510 · Maximo Zeitune 1455
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Maximo Zeitune | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez (rating 1510 vs 1455).
- Head-to-head: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 3–1 Maximo Zeitune (4).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez | Maximo Zeitune | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-9.5 | 11-12 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 28.8% | 60.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
H2H · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 3 – 1 Maximo Zeitune (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez 3–1 Maximo Zeitune
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/26 Challenger Sao Leopoldo | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/08/25 ITF M15 Santiago | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/07/25 ITF M15 Salta | 1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 02/07/25 M15 San Salvador de Jujuy | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/07 | Fermin Tenti M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 08/05 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Maximo Zeitune
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/07 | Tomas Jordi Leston M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/06 | Nicolas Zanellato Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 14/06 | Alvaro Frutos Alonso Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 10/06 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/05 | Juan Manuel La Serna Challenger Cordoba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/05 | Juan Bautista Torres M25 Villa Maria · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Maximo Zeitune?
Our model gives 60% to Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.