Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 21/07, 18:30
Prediction: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Juan Sebastian Osorio
Prediction summary
Winner
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Juan Sebastian Osorio
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
6-4 (W-L)
Juan Sebastian Osorio
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
0–1
Juan Sebastian Osorio
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 1498 · Juan Sebastian Osorio 1540
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Sebastian Osorio (rating 1498 vs 1540).
- Head-to-head: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0–1 Juan Sebastian Osorio (1).
Statistics
| Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | Juan Sebastian Osorio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.8 | 13.2-11.3 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
H2H · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0 – 1 Juan Sebastian Osorio (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos 0–1 Juan Sebastian Osorio
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/23 ITF M15 Santo Domingo | 1-2 | 17-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/06 | Luis Felipe Miguel M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Breno Braga M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/06 | Felipe Garla M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 26/05 | Peter Fajta Challenger Kosice · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/05 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 24/05 | Rafael Izquierdo Luque Challenger Kosice · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
Juan Sebastian Osorio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 03/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Peter Bertran Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 29/06 | Alejandro Hayen Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 12/06 | Nicolas Oliveira M15 Brasilia |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/06 | Felipe Vazquez M15 Brasilia |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/06 | Gabriel Schenekenberg M15 Brasilia |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 03/05 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/05 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Juan Sebastian Osorio?
Our model gives 54% to Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.