Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 21/07, 18:30
Prediction: Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Benjamin Torrealba
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Benjamin Torrealba
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Lucas Andrade da Silva
6-4 (W-L)
Benjamin Torrealba
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucas Andrade da Silva 1567 · Benjamin Torrealba 1465
| Lucas Andrade da Silva | Benjamin Torrealba | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucas Andrade da Silva (rating 1567 vs 1465).
- Lucas Andrade da Silva dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 42.7% break avg.
- Lucas Andrade da Silva is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lucas Andrade da Silva | Benjamin Torrealba | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.6 | 11.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.6% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucas Andrade da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Matias Soto Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 07/07 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/07 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Federico Zeballos Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/06 | Jorge Ruiz Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Benjamin Torrealba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/04 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/04 | Franco Ribero Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Santiago De La Fuente Challenger Campinas · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/04 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago Challenger Campinas · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/03 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/03 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/03 | Johan Nikles Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/03 | Patricio Alvarado Challenger Bucaramanga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/03 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Challenger Santiago · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 08/03 | Conner Huertas Del Pino Challenger Santiago · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucas Andrade da Silva vs Benjamin Torrealba?
Our model gives 73% to Lucas Andrade da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.