Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 22/07, 15:00
Prediction: Juan Estevez vs Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Prediction summary
Winner
Juan Estevez
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Juan Estevez
6-4 (W-L)
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Juan Estevez
1–0
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Juan Estevez 1542 · Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago 1356
| Juan Estevez | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Juan Estevez (rating 1542 vs 1356).
- Juan Estevez is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Juan Estevez 1–0 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago (1).
- Note: Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Juan Estevez | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 0% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | 0% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 0.3-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-9.1 | 8.2-13 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 51.7% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
H2H · Juan Estevez 1 – 0 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Juan Estevez 1–0 Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/25 ITF M25 Londrina | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Juan Estevez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Villa Constitucion |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Felipe Pagnacco M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/07 | Segundo Goity Zapico M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Carlos Maria Zarate M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Felipe De Dios M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 09/07 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Valentin Basel M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/06 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Nick Hardt Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/05 | Rafael Tosetto M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/05 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/05 | Gabriel Schenekenberg Challenger Santos · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 28/04 | Mario Andre Galarraga M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 22/04 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/04 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/04 | Benjamin Torrealba Challenger Campinas · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/03 | Wilson Leite Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Breno Braga Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 18/03 | Fernando Cavallo M15 Punta Del Este · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Juan Estevez vs Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago?
Our model gives 85% to Juan Estevez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.