Tennis · M25 Sao Paulo · 22/07, 15:00
Prediction: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Prediction summary
Winner
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
7-3 (W-L)
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
0–1
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1570 · Joao Eduardo Schiessl 1491
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (rating 1570 vs 1491).
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 0–1 Joao Eduardo Schiessl (1).
Statistics
| Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | Joao Eduardo Schiessl | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 78% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.4 | 8.5-8.9 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 75.9% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 35% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 0 – 1 Joao Eduardo Schiessl (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 0–1 Joao Eduardo Schiessl
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 Challenger Brasilia | 0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Bogota · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/07 | Brandon Perez Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/07 | Andres Urrea Challenger Bogota · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/07 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Quito · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 03/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Lucas Andrade da Silva Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/06 | Fermin Tenti Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
Joao Eduardo Schiessl
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05 | Franco Roncadelli Challenger Santos · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/05 | Gustavo Albieri Challenger Santos · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/04 | Pedro Sakamoto Challenger Campinas · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 31/03 | Johan Nikles Challenger Sao Leopoldo · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 24/03 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/03 | Luka Bojicic Ono Challenger Sao Paulo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 18/03 | Valerio Aboian Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Johannes Ingildsen Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/03 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Challenger Brasilia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves vs Joao Eduardo Schiessl?
Our model gives 69% to Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.