Tennis · M15 Segrate · 21/07, 13:00
Prediction: Vito Dell'Elba vs Adan Freire Da Silva
Prediction summary
Winner
Vito Dell'Elba
Adan Freire Da Silva
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Vito Dell'Elba
6-4 (W-L)
Adan Freire Da Silva
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vito Dell'Elba 1522 · Adan Freire Da Silva 1474
| Vito Dell'Elba | Adan Freire Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vito Dell'Elba (rating 1522 vs 1474).
Statistics
| Vito Dell'Elba | Adan Freire Da Silva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 75% (4) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.4 | 8.7-9.8 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 51.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vito Dell'Elba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Mihai Alexandru Coman M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 16/06 | Guillem Campos Perez M15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Fadi Bidan M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 09/06 | Matei Marius Partal M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/05 | Jan Simonsson M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Davit Zogranian M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/04 | Nicolas Tepmahc M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Gonzalo Le Gentil M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/04 | David Cristian Carteputreda M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
Adan Freire Da Silva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alessio Basile M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Emilien Demanet M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Lorenzo Balducci M25 Nivelles · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 24/06 | Dylan Dietrich M25 Brussels · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/06 | Jordan Coudret Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/05 | Daniel Jade M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Mathys Picard M25 Carnac · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Daniel Antonio Nunez M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Melvin Kumar M25 Deauville · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vito Dell'Elba vs Adan Freire Da Silva?
Our model gives 58% to Adan Freire Da Silva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.