Tennis · M15 Segrate · 21/07, 11:30
Prediction: Nicola Rispoli vs Peter Buldorini
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicola Rispoli
Peter Buldorini
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Nicola Rispoli
5-5 (W-L)
Peter Buldorini
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicola Rispoli 1502 · Peter Buldorini 1444
| Nicola Rispoli | Peter Buldorini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nicola Rispoli (rating 1502 vs 1444).
Statistics
| Nicola Rispoli | Peter Buldorini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.9 | 9.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 3 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.4% | 66% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicola Rispoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 16/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Lucio Ratti M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Lars Aregger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/11 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Bergamo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Niklas Schell ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Calvin Mueller ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Tymur Bieldiugin ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Alberto Morolli ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
Peter Buldorini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Maximilian Homberg M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 23/06 | Ivan Dreycopp M25 Porto |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Jasin Jakupi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/06 | Robert Strombachs Davis Cup |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/06 | Tamerlan Azizov Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/06 | Petar Jovanovic Davis Cup |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Guillaume Dalmasso Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 31/05 | Mark Nawa Challenger Centurion Qual · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicola Rispoli vs Peter Buldorini?
Our model gives 54% to Nicola Rispoli, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.