Tennis · M15 Segrate · 21/07, 14:30
Prediction: Pietro Marino vs Luca Parenti
Prediction summary
Winner
Pietro Marino
Luca Parenti
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Pietro Marino
7-3 (W-L)
Luca Parenti
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Pietro Marino
1–0
Luca Parenti
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pietro Marino 1520 · Luca Parenti 1487
| Pietro Marino | Luca Parenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Pietro Marino 1–0 Luca Parenti (1).
Statistics
| Pietro Marino | Luca Parenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-10 | 9.7-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 70.2% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 36.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Pietro Marino 1 – 0 Luca Parenti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pietro Marino 1–0 Luca Parenti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/23 M25 Santa Margherita | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pietro Marino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta M15 Gubbio |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Gabriele Pennaforti M15 Gubbio |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Andrea Bacaloni M15 Gubbio |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Louis Wessels M25 The Hague |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Rohan Mehra M25 The Hague |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Hazem Naw M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sydney Zick M15 Amstelveen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/06 | Joaquin Guilleme M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Pavel Lagutin M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Luca Parenti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Nicolas Parizzia M15 Segrate |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 11/05 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 10/05 | Filippo Busciola M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/03 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/03 | Stefan Seifert M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/03 | Daniel Masur M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pietro Marino vs Luca Parenti?
Our model gives 68% to Pietro Marino, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.