Tennis · M15 Segrate · 21/07, 14:30

Prediction: Gabriele Bosio vs William Mirarchi

Prediction summary
Winner
61% 39%
Gabriele Bosio William Mirarchi
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Bosio 4-6 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWWL
William Mirarchi 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLWLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabriele Bosio 1473 · William Mirarchi 1496
Gabriele BosioWilliam Mirarchi
Our model47%53%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Gabriele BosioWilliam Mirarchi
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 17% (6) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.31.1-1.3
Games (G-P)10.8-11.18.2-10.1
Aces0.70.9
Double faults2.12.7
1st serve %63.5%59.3%
Break %51.8%40.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabriele Bosio

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/07 Luca Castagnola
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 8-13 L
17/07 Tomas Lanik
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 13-7 W
16/07 Maximilian Figl
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-5 W
15/07 Matic Dimic
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 12-6 W
02/07 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
0-2 8-12 L
01/07 Sergio Planella Hernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-11 W
15/06 Simone Massellani
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
07/06 Gianmarco Ferrari
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 5-13 L
02/06 Adam Majchrzak
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 17-18 L
31/05 Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 11-14 L

William Mirarchi

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/07 Boris Sarritzu
M15 Segrate
2-1 10-10 W
16/07 Cezar Gabriel Papoe
M15 Slobozia
0-2 2-12 L
15/07 Jose Murariu
M15 Slobozia
2-0 12-3 W
10/07 Luka Talan Lopatic
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
09/07 Ergi Kirkin
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
08/07 Rares Andrei Golescu
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
23/06 Lorenzo Bocchi
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
22/06 Iannis Miletich
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-1 11-11 W
15/06 Alessandro Spadola
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 9-11 L
05/06 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabriele Bosio vs William Mirarchi?

Our model gives 61% to Gabriele Bosio, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.