Tennis · M15 Segrate · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Leonardo Borrelli vs Michele Mecarelli
Prediction summary
Winner
Leonardo Borrelli
Michele Mecarelli
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Leonardo Borrelli
4-6 (W-L)
Michele Mecarelli
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leonardo Borrelli 1444 · Michele Mecarelli 1448
| Leonardo Borrelli | Michele Mecarelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Leonardo Borrelli makes many double faults (6.2/match).
Statistics
| Leonardo Borrelli | Michele Mecarelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 30% (10) | 22% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 0.7-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.6 | 9.4-12.4 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 6.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 57.3% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 37.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leonardo Borrelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Jonas Kucera M15 Umag · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Yassine Smiej M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Jorge Plans M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Michele Mecarelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Jakub Paul Challenger Parma · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Petr Nesterov Challenger Cattolica · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Grado · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Andrea Guerrieri M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-1 | 0-6 | L |
| 11/05 | Petros Tsitsipas M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/05 | Arthur Nagel M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-1 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leonardo Borrelli vs Michele Mecarelli?
Our model gives 68% to Michele Mecarelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.