Tennis · M25 Denia · 22/07, 10:00

Prediction: Reda Bennani vs Carles Hernandez

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Reda Bennani Carles Hernandez
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Reda Bennani 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWWL
Carles Hernandez 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Reda Bennani 1578 · Carles Hernandez 1550
Reda BennaniCarles Hernandez
Our model54%46%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Reda BennaniCarles Hernandez
Win %80%60%
Win % · Clay 83% (6) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.7-11.3-1.2
Games (G-P)13.2-1013-11.5
Aces1.11.4
Double faults2.22.9
1st serve %62.5%64.3%
Break %52.8%51.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Reda Bennani

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/07 Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Gandia
1-2 11-17 L
17/07 Anas Mazdrashki
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-3 W
16/07 Albert Pedrico Kravtsov
M25 Gandia
2-1 16-12 W
15/07 Carles Cordoba
M25 Gandia
2-1 15-10 W
05/07 Massimo Giunta
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 13-12 W
04/07 Walid Ahouda
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 15-8 W
03/07 Florian Broska
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
02/07 Alexandr Binda
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-1 15-10 W
01/07 Dillon Beckles
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
26/06 Sean Cuenin
M25 Tanger · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Carles Hernandez

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Albert Pedrico Kravtsov
M25 Gandia
1-2 17-19 L
05/07 Oscar Jose Gutierrez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-14 W
04/07 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
03/07 Marcel Zielinski
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 14-6 W
01/07 Rafael Ymer
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 16-13 W
24/06 Oscar Weightman
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
22/06 Maxi Carrascosa Diaz
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
16/06 Matthieu Chambonniere
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
11/06 Joao Domingues
M25 Martos · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
09/06 Noah Lopez Cherubino
M25 Martos · ~Hard
2-1 17-12 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Reda Bennani vs Carles Hernandez?

Our model gives 65% to Reda Bennani, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.