Tennis · M25 Denia · 22/07, 10:00

Prediction: Pedro Rodenas vs Sergi Fita Juan

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Pedro Rodenas Sergi Fita Juan
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pedro Rodenas 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWLLWLWL
Sergi Fita Juan 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pedro Rodenas 1486 · Sergi Fita Juan 1525
Pedro RodenasSergi Fita Juan
Our model44%56%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Pedro RodenasSergi Fita Juan
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 40% (5) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.41.4-1
Games (G-P)11.3-11.511.8-11.2
Aces2.20.7
Double faults3.72.8
1st serve %61.2%60.4%
Break %42.5%62.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pedro Rodenas

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M25 Gandia
0-2 7-12 L
03/07 Alejandro Garcia
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
02/07 Pavlos Tsitsipas
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 18-13 W
01/07 Julien Dando
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
19/06 Andrea Colombo
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
18/06 Ludovico Vaccari
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
16/06 Ibrahim Snoussi
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 11-3 W
10/06 Paul Barbier Gazeu
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 5-11 L
22/04 Joao Goncalves
M15 Orlando · ~Clay
1-2 10-14 L
29/11 Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF M15 Madrid · Clay
1-2 14-14 L

Sergi Fita Juan

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Eric Vanshelboim
M25 Gandia
1-2 9-15 L
16/07 Andrey Chepelev
M25 Gandia
2-1 14-13 W
15/07 Adam Lynch
M25 Gandia
2-0 12-4 W
03/07 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 17-19 L
02/07 Michiel de Krom
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W
30/06 Charles Chen
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
17/06 Michiel de Krom
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
0-2 5-13 L
16/06 Iker Gaztambide Arrastia
M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
05/06 Anton Arzhankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
04/06 Carles Cordoba
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pedro Rodenas vs Sergi Fita Juan?

Our model gives 58% to Pedro Rodenas, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.