Prediction: Andres Santamarta Roig vs Lorenzo Angelini
Prediction summary
Winner
Andres Santamarta Roig
Lorenzo Angelini
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Andres Santamarta Roig
5-5 (W-L)
Lorenzo Angelini
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andres Santamarta Roig 1467 · Lorenzo Angelini 1571
| Andres Santamarta Roig | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lorenzo Angelini (rating 1467 vs 1571).
- Lorenzo Angelini is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Andres Santamarta Roig | Lorenzo Angelini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 40% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10 | 10.5-7.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andres Santamarta Roig
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Federico Cina Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Ognjen Milic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/11 | Daniel Merida Aguilar Challenger Maia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Lorenzo Angelini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Luca Potenza Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 05/07 | Luca Castagnola M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/07 | Andrej Martin M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 03/07 | Giovanni Oradini M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Edoardo Cherie Ligniere M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Henry Best M15 Umag · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Dali Blanch Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andres Santamarta Roig vs Lorenzo Angelini?
Our model gives 52% to Andres Santamarta Roig, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.