Tennis · M25 Denia · 21/07, 17:45

Prediction: Anas Mazdrashki vs Carlos Lopez Montagud

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Anas Mazdrashki Carlos Lopez Montagud
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Anas Mazdrashki 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWWL
Carlos Lopez Montagud 3-7 (W-L)
LWLLWLLWLL
Head-to-head
Anas Mazdrashki 0–1 Carlos Lopez Montagud (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anas Mazdrashki 1519 · Carlos Lopez Montagud 1461
Anas MazdrashkiCarlos Lopez Montagud
Our model58%42%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anas Mazdrashki (rating 1519 vs 1461).
  • Anas Mazdrashki is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Anas Mazdrashki 0–1 Carlos Lopez Montagud (1).

Statistics

Anas MazdrashkiCarlos Lopez Montagud
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay 57% (7) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.2-10.8-1.3
Games (G-P)9.4-9.99.4-9.5
Aces1.61.3
Double faults1.21.9
1st serve %63.1%58.3%
Break %49.7%47.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

H2H · Anas Mazdrashki 01 Carlos Lopez Montagud (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anas Mazdrashki 01 Carlos Lopez Montagud

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DateSetsGamesRes.
18/07/25
M25 Gandia
0-25-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anas Mazdrashki

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/07 Reda Bennani
M25 Gandia
0-2 3-12 L
16/07 Ludvig Fredrik Hede
M25 Gandia
2-0 7-2 W
15/07 Joan Torres Espinosa
M25 Gandia
2-0 13-9 W
21/06 Nikita Belozertsev
Challenger Plovdiv · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Cezar Gabriel Papoe
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
16/06 Gabriel Ghetu
M15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
14/06 Radu Mihai Papoe
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
13/06 Stefan Adrian Andreescu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
12/06 Sebastian Gima
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-1 17-14 W
10/06 Radu David Turcanu
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
2-1 13-12 W

Carlos Lopez Montagud

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/07 Luka Talan Lopatic
M25 Gandia
1-2 14-15 L
04/06 Alexandre Reco
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
1-2 10-13 L
02/06 Vito Antonio Darderi
M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
11/05 Timofey Skatov
Challenger Valencia · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
30/04 Iliyan Radulov
M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay
0-2 7-11 L
29/04 Oscar Pinto Sansano
M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
11/02 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M15 Almoradi · ~Clay
0-1 6-7 L
05/02 Ignacio Parisca Romera
M15 Javea
0-2 8-13 L
04/02 Alejandro Juan Mano
M15 Javea
2-0 12-4 W
21/01 Max Alcala Gurri
M25 Antalya · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anas Mazdrashki vs Carlos Lopez Montagud?

Our model gives 54% to Carlos Lopez Montagud, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.