Tennis · W15 Kursumlijska Banja · 21/07, 10:30
Prediction: Laia Petretic vs Mariya Yemshanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Laia Petretic
Mariya Yemshanova
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Laia Petretic
6-4 (W-L)
Mariya Yemshanova
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Laia Petretic 1531 · Mariya Yemshanova 1411
| Laia Petretic | Mariya Yemshanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Laia Petretic (rating 1531 vs 1411).
- Laia Petretic is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Laia Petretic makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Laia Petretic | Mariya Yemshanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (1) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-9.4 | 5.1-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 0 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 53.4% | 39.9% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 57.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Laia Petretic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Chelsea Fontenel W35 Tauste · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/05 | Anna Kubareva W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 23/05 | Mariia Lazarenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Aurora Urso W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Yelyzaveta Chainykova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/05 | Amelia Paszun W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 14/05 | Carolyn Ansari W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Lya Fernandez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-0 | W |
| 06/05 | Viola Turini W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/05 | Francesca Gandolfi W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Mariya Yemshanova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jana Bojovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Viktoria Veleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Dusica Popovski W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Emma Ottavia Ghirardato W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Patricia Georgiana Goina W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/06 | Alessia Antici W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
| 10/06 | Helena Stevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Xinran Sun W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Weronika Falkowska W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Milica Stosovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Laia Petretic vs Mariya Yemshanova?
Our model gives 79% to Laia Petretic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.