Tennis · WTA Palermo · 21/07, 17:00
Prediction: Caroline Werner vs Mina Hodzic
Prediction summary
Winner
Caroline Werner
Mina Hodzic
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Caroline Werner
7-3 (W-L)
Mina Hodzic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Caroline Werner 1493 · Mina Hodzic 1534
| Caroline Werner | Mina Hodzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mina Hodzic (rating 1493 vs 1534).
Statistics
| Caroline Werner | Mina Hodzic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-10.1 | 12.6-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.3% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 45.9% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Caroline Werner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ilinca D Amariei WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Dominika Salkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Alina Charaeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Alice Rame Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Amarissa Kiara Toth W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Tyra Caterina Grant W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Justina Mikulskyte W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kosice · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Mina Hodzic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 18/07 | Emily Webley-Smith WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/07 | Harriet Dart WTA Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/07 | Hao-Ching Chan WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Lidia Encheva W100 Aschaffenburg |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 27/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 25/06 | Martina Capurro Taborda W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Elza Tomase W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Caroline Werner vs Mina Hodzic?
Our model gives 54% to Caroline Werner, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.