Tennis · M15 Segrate · 20/07, 13:00

Prediction: Lorenzo Berto vs Nicola Rispoli

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Lorenzo Berto Nicola Rispoli
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Berto 3-7 (W-L)
WLLLWLWLLL
Nicola Rispoli 5-5 (W-L)
WWWWLLLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lorenzo Berto 1493 · Nicola Rispoli 1464
Lorenzo BertoNicola Rispoli
Our model54%46%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Lorenzo BertoNicola Rispoli
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 25% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31-1.2
Games (G-P)11.2-11.39.9-11.2
Aces3.63.7
Double faults2.63.1
1st serve %68.8%66.9%
Break %65%44.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lorenzo Berto

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Alexander Gschiel
M15 Nova Gorica
1-2 9-10 L
05/07 Lorenzo Bocchi
Challenger Trieste · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
24/06 Manuel Plunger
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 9-13 L
17/06 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 11-18 L
16/06 Luca Parenti
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-1 18-14 W
15/06 Antonio Caruso
M25 Milano · ~Clay
2-0 13-5 W
02/06 Mak Mikovic
M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
07/05 Michele Mecarelli
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
1-1 15-12 W
06/05 Lorenzo Rottoli
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-1 14-11 W
04/05 Stefan Popovic
M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay
2-0 11-5 W

Nicola Rispoli

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/06 Gian Marco Ortenzi
M25 Milano · ~Clay
0-2 10-13 L
27/05 Lucio Ratti
M25 Grado · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
26/05 Lars Aregger
M25 Grado · ~Clay
2-0 13-8 W
29/04 Andrea Fiorentini
M15 Hurghada · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
16/11 Federico Arnaboldi
Challenger Bergamo · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/10 Niklas Schell
ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard
1-2 12-17 L
29/10 Calvin Mueller
ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
28/10 Tymur Bieldiugin
ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
27/10 Alberto Morolli
ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard
2-1 12-11 W
26/10 Evan Jarzaguet
ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard
1-1 10-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Berto vs Nicola Rispoli?

Our model gives 50% to Lorenzo Berto, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.