Tennis · M15 Segrate · 20/07, 13:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Berto vs Nicola Rispoli
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Berto
Nicola Rispoli
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Berto
3-7 (W-L)
Nicola Rispoli
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Berto 1493 · Nicola Rispoli 1464
| Lorenzo Berto | Nicola Rispoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Berto | Nicola Rispoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.3 | 9.9-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 65% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Berto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Alexander Gschiel M15 Nova Gorica |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 05/07 | Lorenzo Bocchi Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Manuel Plunger M15 Bergamo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Viktor Durasovic M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/06 | Luca Parenti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 15/06 | Antonio Caruso M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/06 | Mak Mikovic M15 Ljubljana · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Michele Mecarelli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 06/05 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 04/05 | Stefan Popovic M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
Nicola Rispoli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Gian Marco Ortenzi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Lucio Ratti M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Lars Aregger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/04 | Andrea Fiorentini M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 16/11 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Bergamo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/10 | Niklas Schell ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Calvin Mueller ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/10 | Tymur Bieldiugin ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/10 | Alberto Morolli ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 26/10 | Evan Jarzaguet ITF M15 Selva Gardena · Hard |
1-1 | 10-11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Berto vs Nicola Rispoli?
Our model gives 50% to Lorenzo Berto, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

