Tennis · M15 Segrate · 20/07, 13:00
Prediction: Nicolas Parizzia vs Luca Parenti
Prediction summary
Winner
Nicolas Parizzia
Luca Parenti
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Parizzia
3-7 (W-L)
Luca Parenti
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nicolas Parizzia
1–0
Luca Parenti
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Parizzia 1448 · Luca Parenti 1493
| Nicolas Parizzia | Luca Parenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Luca Parenti (rating 1448 vs 1493).
- Head-to-head: Nicolas Parizzia 1–0 Luca Parenti (1).
Statistics
| Nicolas Parizzia | Luca Parenti | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.7 | 10.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70% | 71.2% |
| Break % | 37.7% | 38.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Nicolas Parizzia 1 – 0 Luca Parenti (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nicolas Parizzia 1–0 Luca Parenti
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/22 ITF M25 Sierre | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Parizzia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07 | Tomas Lanik M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/07 | Theo Papamalamis Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Filip Jeff Planinsek M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Benedikt Szerencsits M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Sandro Kopp M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Sebastian Sorger M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Giuseppe La Vela M15 Litija · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Noah Lopez M15 Litija · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 05/05 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
Luca Parenti
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06 | Lorenzo Berto M25 Milano · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 15/06 | Samuele Seghetti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/05 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-11 | L |
| 11/05 | Niccolo Ciavarella M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 10/05 | Filippo Busciola M25 Reggio Emilia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 26/03 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/03 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/03 | Stefan Seifert M15 Altamura · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/03 | Daniel Masur M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Dean Thurner M25 Trimbach · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Parizzia vs Luca Parenti?
Our model gives 59% to Nicolas Parizzia, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.