Tennis · WTA Palermo · 20/07, 18:30
Prediction: Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Jennifer Ruggeri
Prediction summary
Winner
Amarissa Kiara Toth
Jennifer Ruggeri
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Amarissa Kiara Toth
4-6 (W-L)
Jennifer Ruggeri
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Amarissa Kiara Toth
0–1
Jennifer Ruggeri
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Amarissa Kiara Toth 1491 · Jennifer Ruggeri 1535
| Amarissa Kiara Toth | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jennifer Ruggeri (rating 1491 vs 1535).
- Head-to-head: Amarissa Kiara Toth 0–1 Jennifer Ruggeri (1).
- Note: Jennifer Ruggeri makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Amarissa Kiara Toth | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.8 | 11.8-11.9 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 57.9% | 62.3% |
| Break % | 58.2% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
H2H · Amarissa Kiara Toth 0 – 1 Jennifer Ruggeri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Amarissa Kiara Toth 0–1 Jennifer Ruggeri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 W35 Santa Margherita | 0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amarissa Kiara Toth
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | Daria Kuczer W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 23/06 | Laura Hietaranta W50 Gdansk · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/06 | Chloe Paquet WTA Brescia · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Dalila Jakupovic W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Caroline Werner W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/05 | Carlota Martinez Cirez W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 21/05 | Tilwith Di Girolami W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 20/05 | Kaja Najzer W50 Portoroz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 27/04 | Emily Seibold W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/04 | Victoria Pohle W100 Wiesbaden · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Jennifer Ruggeri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Tatiana Pieri WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Martina Trevisan WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 31/05 | Kayla Day W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/05 | Andrea Lazaro Garcia W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amarissa Kiara Toth vs Jennifer Ruggeri?
Our model gives 57% to Jennifer Ruggeri, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.