Tennis · M15 Rognac · 20/07, 18:30
Prediction: Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Mathieu Scaglia
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Mathieu Scaglia
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
4-6 (W-L)
Mathieu Scaglia
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez 1450 · Mathieu Scaglia 1471
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Mathieu Scaglia makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez | Mathieu Scaglia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-11.1 | 8.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.8% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 39.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Takuya Kumasaka Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Johan Nikles M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Leonid Sheyngezikht M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 7-2 | W |
| 24/06 | Dillon Beckles M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Maxi Carrascosa Diaz M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 26/05 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Seydina Andre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 21/05 | Joao Dinis Silva M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Thomas Drayton M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/04 | Florian Broska M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Mathieu Scaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Lucas Poullain M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Benjamin Pietri M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Nick Beamish M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Amine Jamji M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Izan Almazan Valiente M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Nick Beamish M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez vs Mathieu Scaglia?
Our model gives 53% to Alejandro Turriziani Alvarez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.