Tennis · M15 Rognac · 21/07, 10:00

Prediction: Nicolas Jadoun vs Hugo Car

Prediction summary
Winner
42% 58%
Nicolas Jadoun Hugo Car
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Nicolas Jadoun 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWWL
Hugo Car 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nicolas Jadoun 1485 · Hugo Car 1531
Nicolas JadounHugo Car
Our model43%57%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hugo Car (rating 1485 vs 1531).

Statistics

Nicolas JadounHugo Car
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 43% (7) 67% (9)
Sets (G-P)1-1.11.4-0.8
Games (G-P)8.8-9.911.4-9.2
Aces0.94.8
Double faults2.52.1
1st serve %63%71.3%
Break %51.6%35%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nicolas Jadoun

LLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/07 Florent Bax
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 3-12 L
09/07 Leonardo Primucci
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 13-6 W
07/07 Liam Branger
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-1 15-12 W
01/07 Paris Pouatcha
M15 Umag · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
23/06 Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Zagreb · ~Clay
1-2 13-13 L
19/06 Nikita Mashtakov
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
18/06 Lilian Marmousez
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
1-0 6-3 W
16/06 Matthias Ujvary
M25 Samobor · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
12/06 Branko Djuric
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
11/06 Boris Butulija
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-8 W

Hugo Car

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Dan Added
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
1-2 14-14 L
23/06 Denis Constantin Spiridon
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
22/06 Daniel Aleksandar Amarandei
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/06 Mika Petkovic
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
1-2 16-16 L
16/06 Andrea M'chich
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
15/06 Noah Malige
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/06 Lucas Mommessin
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
29/05 Daniel Jade
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/05 Raphael Perot
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 14-12 W
27/05 Matisse Martin
M25 Carnac · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nicolas Jadoun vs Hugo Car?

Our model gives 58% to Hugo Car, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.