Tennis · M15 Rognac · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Conor Gannon vs Alex Knaff
Prediction summary
Winner
Conor Gannon
Alex Knaff
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Conor Gannon
4-6 (W-L)
Alex Knaff
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Conor Gannon 1505 · Alex Knaff 1461
| Conor Gannon | Alex Knaff | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Conor Gannon (rating 1505 vs 1461).
Statistics
| Conor Gannon | Alex Knaff | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.4 | 10.9-13 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 65.3% |
| Break % | 35.9% | 23% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Conor Gannon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Ivan Ivanov Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Grigor Dimitrov Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Dublin · Grass |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 13/06 | Doni Gashi Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Rihards Neimanis Davis Cup |
0-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Kanan Gasimov Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Simon Knezevic Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/06 | Sebastiano Cocola M25 Caltanissetta · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/05 | Leo Raquillet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
Alex Knaff
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | Kyle Mckay UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 12/05 | Nicola Cigna UTR Pro Stirling · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/05 | Millen Hurrion M25 Nottingham |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Toby Martin M25 Nottingham |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 22/04 | Emile Hudd M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/04 | Koki Matsuda M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 16/04 | Anton Shepp M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/04 | Bill Chan M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 12/03 | Jurij Rodionov Challenger Cherbourg · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Niels Visker Challenger Cherbourg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Conor Gannon vs Alex Knaff?
Our model gives 52% to Alex Knaff, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.