Tennis · M15 Rognac · 20/07, 15:00

Prediction: Maxence Rivet vs Damien Salvestre

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Maxence Rivet Damien Salvestre
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Maxence Rivet 5-5 (W-L)
LLLLWWWLWW
Damien Salvestre 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWLWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maxence Rivet 1517 · Damien Salvestre 1531
Maxence RivetDamien Salvestre
Our model48%52%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Maxence RivetDamien Salvestre
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.2-11.4-1
Games (G-P)9.4-9.811.6-8.8
Aces1.95
Double faults3.93.1
1st serve %64.6%77%
Break %40.2%43%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.2

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maxence Rivet

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/07 Florent Bax
M25 Uriage
1-2 13-18 L
14/07 Amaury Raynel
M25 Uriage
2-0 13-7 W
12/06 Fausto Tabacco
M15 Messina · ~Clay
1-2 9-13 L
11/06 Matteo Sciahbasi
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/06 Leonardo Primucci
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
09/06 Simone Macchione
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
08/06 Federico Gargano
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-1 13-7 W
29/04 Daniel Rincon
M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
19/04 Lenny Couturier
M25 Angers · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
06/04 Isaac Becroft
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-1 0-6 L

Damien Salvestre

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/07 Jason Pimenta
M15 Rognac
2-0 12-4 W
09/07 Alexander Weis
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
0-2 10-13 L
08/07 Mikail Alimli
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-0 11-5 W
06/07 Timeo Bretin
M25 Bastia-Lucciana
2-1 11-8 W
01/07 Viktor Durasovic
M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
10/03 Silvio Mencaglia
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 7-10 L
28/01 Nicolas Robert
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 18-11 W
27/01 Giovanni Ciocca
M15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
28/10 Tiago Pires
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
27/10 Lathan Skrobarcek
UTR Pro College Station · Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maxence Rivet vs Damien Salvestre?

Our model gives 56% to Damien Salvestre, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.