Tennis · ATP Kitzbuhel · 20/07, 14:40
Prediction: Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Federico Cina
Prediction summary
Winner
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Federico Cina
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Facundo Diaz Acosta
8-2 (W-L)
Federico Cina
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1594 · Federico Cina 1532
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 60% | 40% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Facundo Diaz Acosta (rating 1594 vs 1532).
- Facundo Diaz Acosta is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Facundo Diaz Acosta | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.1-9.9 | 12.4-10.5 |
| Aces | 2 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 41% | 53.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/07 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 10/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/07 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 04/07 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Milan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Federico Cina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Lorenzo Giustino ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Michalski ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 12/07 | Calvin Hemery ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Patrick Zahraj ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/07 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 29/06 | Andres Santamarta Roig Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Hugo Gaston Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Gianluca Cadenasso Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/06 | Taro Daniel Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Facundo Diaz Acosta vs Federico Cina?
Our model gives 60% to Facundo Diaz Acosta, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.