Tennis · M15 Segrate · 21/07, 10:00
Prediction: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Prediction summary
Winner
Gabriele Crivellaro
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Crivellaro
3-7 (W-L)
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gabriele Crivellaro 1451 · Yanis Ghazouani Durand 1554
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yanis Ghazouani Durand (rating 1451 vs 1554).
- Yanis Ghazouani Durand is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Yanis Ghazouani Durand makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Gabriele Crivellaro | Yanis Ghazouani Durand | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 20% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.2-10.8 | 10.8-8.9 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.9% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gabriele Crivellaro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Oleg Prihodko Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Michael Bassem Sobhy Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Georgii Kravchenko M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Nik Mikovic M15 Rovinj · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Trento · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-11 | L |
| 16/02 | Leonardo Primucci M25 Trento · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/02 | Andrea Zanini M25 Trento · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/02 | Lorenzo Rottoli Challenger Cesenatico · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 28/01 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Arthur Bellegy M25 Uriage |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Pablo Pradat M25 Uriage |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 12/07 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/07 | Denis Constantin Spiridon M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Axel Garcian M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Tanguy Genier M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 29/06 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Isaac Becroft Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gabriele Crivellaro vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand?
Our model gives 70% to Yanis Ghazouani Durand, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.